Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Lagarto		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.4
	3	2.87	2.25
	2.85	3	2.35
	2.95	3	2.29
	3.26	3.06	2.25
	3	2.8	2.45
	3.13	3	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.82)	2.98 ↓ (3.28)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
29.9%

Draw
30.8%

Figueirense
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.9%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

20.2%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lagarto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Figueirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lagarto - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lagarto is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Figueirense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lagarto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
17.02.22	Lagarto - Atlético Gloriense	2:2 ✺
09.02.22	América de Propriá - Lagarto	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Lagarto - Itabaiana	1:2 ✺
27.01.22	Lagarto - Frei Paulistano	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Atlético Gloriense - Lagarto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLWW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
19.02.22	Grêmio Juventus - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
16.02.22	Figueirense - Próspera Criciúma	1:2 ✺
13.02.22	Chapecoense - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
10.02.22	Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:2 ✺
06.02.22	Hercílio Luz - Figueirense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWL

Lagarto - Figueirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide