The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lahti 38.6%
Draw 28.2%
Ilves 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
27.8%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
27.6%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Lahti - Ilves Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Lahti will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Maukonen O. (G) 27. Yapi R. 5. Gianini Dantas N. (C) 4. Muller J. 3. Sans R. 8. Montiel C. 18. Cassubie Y. 14. Andersson E. 77. Sarr M. 9. Lindholm A. 17. Belabid A.
1. Virtanen O. (C) 24. Kumpu V. 16. Miettunen T. 3. Rale M. 4. Pettersson O. 6. Raap Y. 22. Multala O. 13. Wallius K. 8. Stjopin M. 28. Kilo J. 9. Hytonen T.
Substitutes
12. Hakala A. (G) 7. Heikkinen D. 25. Inkinen T. 44. Jarvinen L. 28. Kabashi A. 10. Koskinen O. 11. Martim Augusto 20. Ojanen J. 6. Vehkonen V.
17. Baranov S. 30. Kanga J. 12. Krkalic F. (G) 23. Raymond A. 10. Riski Ro. 20. Tiitinen O.
Coaches
Pereira G.
Lehtonen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Belabid A. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Belabid A. ⚽, Andersson E. (A),
17', 3 - 0, Lindholm A. ⚽, Belabid A. (A),
24', Andersson E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Raap Y. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
46', Kumpu V. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
52', 4 - 0, Andersson E. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Andersson E. ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
69', Wallius K. 🟨,
69', Hytonen T. ↓, Raymond A. ↑,
69', Rale M. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
69', Stjopin M. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
70', Heikkinen D. (Penalty Awarded),
70', 5 - 0, Heikkinen D. ⚽,
71', Lindholm A. ↓, Ojanen J. ↑,
71', Yapi R. ↓, Koskinen O. ↑,
76', Gianini Dantas N. ↓, Vehkonen V. ↑,
76', Montiel C. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
81', Miettunen T. 🟨,
86', Tiitinen O. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 1.
Lahti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ilves is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Lahti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
Bamba G.
(Red Card)
Vaisanen S.
(Injury)
Veteli J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ilves: Popovitch A.
(Inactive)
Suvanne S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Lahti won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.9:1.7).
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Maukonen O. (G) 
Yapi R. 
Gianini Dantas N. (C) 
Muller J. 
Montiel C. 
Andersson E. 
Raap Y. 
Krkalic F. (G) 
Raymond A. 
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