Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 7

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Lahden Stadion (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Lahti		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.85
				Watch
	2.53	3.2	3.14
	2.41	3.08	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.28	3.18	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.36)	3.14 ↓ (3.39)	3.08 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti
39.8%

Draw
29.8%

VPS Vaasa
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Lahti - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lahti will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). VPS will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maukonen O. (G) 27. Yapi R. 6. Vehkonen V. 4. Muller J. 3. Sans R. 8. Montiel C. 18. Cassubie Y. 14. Andersson E. (C) 7. Heikkinen D. 19. Neemias 11. Martim Augusto	41. Jalloh M. (G) 2. Mane L. 6. Okereke E. 19. Haukioja M. (C) 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 24. Daoussi Y. 8. Lima P. 23. Niemi M. 11. Muzinga J. 15. Smyth L. 14. Lindholm S.
Substitutes
17. Belabid A. 5. Gianini Dantas N. 25. Inkinen T. 44. Jarvinen L. 28. Kabashi A. 10. Koskinen O. 2. Lehtonen J. 9. Lindholm A. 13. Ratto V. (G)	10. Ali J. 35. Keturi O. 33. Kuek A. 13. Ogunniyi O. 34. Raisanen A. 5. Ronnberg V. 7. Turfkruier J. 30. Vahtera J. 12. Vayrynen L. (G)
Coaches
Pereira G.	Nuorela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Neemias ↓, Lindholm A. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Smyth L. ⚽,
44', Martim Augusto 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Montiel C. ⚽, Heikkinen D. (A),
45+3', Haukioja M. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yapi R. 🟨,
47', Smyth L. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Raisanen A. 🟨,
67', Lindholm S. ↓, Vahtera J. ↑,
67', Daoussi Y. ↓, Ali J. ↑,
67', Muzinga J. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
70', Heikkinen D. ↓, Koskinen O. ↑,
70', Andersson E. ↓, Belabid A. ↑,
86', Montiel C. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
90', Mane L. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

VPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lahti might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lahti: Hakala A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in VPS: van Duivenbooden S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lahti won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	VPS	26	10	6	10	30:31	-1	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lahti
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	Lahti - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.05.26	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	HJK - Lahti	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Union Plaani - Lahti	2:4 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.04.26	Lahti - Oulu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWW
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	VPS Vaasa - Åbo IFK	7:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.05.26	VPS Vaasa - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	VPS Vaasa - Ilves	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.08.24	Lahti - VPS Vaasa	0:0
03.05.24	VPS Vaasa - Lahti	3:0
18.08.23	Lahti - VPS Vaasa	0:2
05.04.23	VPS Vaasa - Lahti	0:0
28.09.22	Lahti - VPS Vaasa	0:2
20.08.22	VPS Vaasa - Lahti	2:3
08.04.22	Lahti - VPS Vaasa	0:5

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