Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Referee: Reitala O. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	KuPS Kuopio		Lahti

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.1	5.25
	1.58	3.95	5.4	Watch
	1.6	4.08	5.78
	1.57	4.06	5.7	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.5
	1.57	3.98	5.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)	3.98 ↑ (3.65)	5.53 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
59.6%

Draw
23.5%

Lahti
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

27.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

KuPS Kuopio - Lahti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Lahti will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 33. Hamalainen T. 28. Magassa B. 23. Lotjonen A. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 34. Ruoppi O. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 9. Engvall G. 24. Armah B.	31. Maukonen O. (G) 27. Yapi R. 4. Muller J. 6. Vehkonen V. 3. Sans R. 8. Montiel C. 28. Kabashi A. (C) 10. Koskinen O. 17. Belabid A. 9. Lindholm A. 11. Martim Augusto
Substitutes
4. Adams K. 3. Heiskanen S. 13. Kujasalo N. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 20. Soumahoro S. 2. Ward K.	14. Andersson E. 18. Cassubie Y. 5. Gianini Dantas N. 7. Heikkinen D. 25. Inkinen T. 41. Paalanen A. 13. Ratto V. (G)
Coaches
Nuutinen M.	Pereira G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Koskinen O. ⚽, Montiel C. (A),
25', Koskinen O. 🟨,
34', Vehkonen V. 🟨,
34', Sans R. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Ruoppi O. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 1, Magassa B. ⚽, Pennanen P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Yapi R. ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
63', Heikkinen D. 🟨,
64', Antwi C. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,
64', Armah B. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
65', Koskinen O. ↓, Andersson E. ↑,
65', Kabashi A. ↓, Cassubie Y. ↑,
67', Pennanen P. ↓, Kujasalo N. ↑,
75', Lindholm A. ↓, Paalanen A. ↑,
75', Montiel C. ↓, Inkinen T. ↑,
86', Engvall G. ↓, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lahti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KuPS is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in KuPS: Pasanen S. (Injury) Voutilainen J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lahti: Hakala A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 42:18. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:7. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
20.05.26	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
12.05.26	PK-35 Vantaa - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.05.26	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTWTL
- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.05.26	Lahti - VPS Vaasa	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	Lahti - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.05.26	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	HJK - Lahti	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Union Plaani - Lahti	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Lahti	1:0
27.04.24	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
16.03.24	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	0:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.07.23	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	3:4
20.05.23	KuPS Kuopio - Lahti	2:0
Finnish Cup
31.08.22	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.07.22	KuPS Kuopio - Lahti	4:0

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