Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Lajense		União da Serra

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.98	2.48
	2.66	2.78	2.62
	2.68	2.93	2.64	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.63
	2.65	2.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.71)	2.85 ↓ (3.15)	2.59 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lajense
33.8%

Draw
31.6%

União da Serra
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.7%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lajense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Lajense - União da Serra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In recent matches, Lajense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

União da Serra is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

União da Serra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Uniao Da Serra	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.03.26	Fatima - Lajense	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lajense - SB Castelo Branco	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Samora Correia - Lajense	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Lajense - Eléctrico	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Peniche - Lajense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLWT
- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.03.26	União da Serra - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eléctrico - União da Serra	2:4 ✺
15.02.26	União da Serra - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	União da Serra - Naval	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Mortágua - União da Serra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	União da Serra - Lajense	1:0

Lajense - União da Serra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide