Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo da Portela (Santa Catarina da Serra)


	União da Serra		Naval

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.98	3
	2.36	2.85	3.02
	2.35	2.98	3.01	Watch
	2.33	2.94	3.01
	2.36	2.83	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.27)	2.92 ↓ (2.99)	3.01 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União da Serra
38.8%

Draw
31.1%

Naval
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

31.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

União da Serra - Naval Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Recent form of União da Serra has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Naval is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, União da Serra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Uniao Da Serra	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
6	Naval 1893	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.01.26	Mortágua - União da Serra	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	União da Serra - Fatima	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	União da Serra - Samora Correia	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Peniche - União da Serra	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	União da Serra - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLT
- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.01.26	Naval - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Eléctrico - Naval	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Naval	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Naval - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Lajense - Naval	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.08.25	Naval - União da Serra	3:5

União da Serra - Naval: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide