The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lanús 39.3%
Draw 29.3%
Colón 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
29.6%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
31.2%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
68.9%
8.9%
Lanús - Colón Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 10 - 22.2%). Colón will win (votes: 4 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 31 - 68.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.4% – 82.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 25 and 9).
Lanús has the most likely position - 10 (100%), has project points - 37, has currently - 37, has not chance of win league.
Colón has the most likely position - 7 (100%), has project points - 39, has currently - 39, has not chance of win league.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 4.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Lanús could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Lanús: Bernabei A.
(Injury)
Lopez J.
(Injury)
Sand J.
(Injury)
Valeri D.
(Injury)
de La Vega P.
(Injury)
There will not play in Colón: Goltz P.
(Injury)
Vega C.
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Lanús won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.