Match Info

Date: 25 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.87
	2.55	3.05	3
	2.46	3	2.85
	2.59	3.13	3.05
	2.45	3	2.8	Watch
	2.46	3.25	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.39)	3.1 ↓ (3.23)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
37.5%

Draw
30.2%

Colón
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.9%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Peñarol de Montevideo - Colón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Peñarol is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Colón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.05.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.05.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.05.22	Plaza Colonia - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
08.05.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWWL
- CA Colón
Copa Libertadores
18.05.22	Colón - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.22	Colón - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.22	Colón - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Colón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
05.04.22	Colón - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1

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