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Current Win Probability
Lanús 49%
Draw 29.7%
Gimnasia La Plata 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
29.2%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
28.6%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.5%
0%
9.5%
Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lanús will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 4. Perez G. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 2. Munoz E. 6. Marcich S. 30. Cardozo A. 5. Pena Biafore F. 11. Salvio E. 10. Marcelino Moreno 36. Segovia A. 9. Bou W.
23. Insfran N. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Morales L. (C) 6. Suso G. 14. Silva Torrejon P. 5. Fernandez M. 10. De Blasis P. 25. Sosa A. 19. Castro L. 38. Panaro M. 30. Castillo R.
Substitutes
25. Aquino D. 38. Brito E. J. 20. Cabrera B. 14. Canelo A. 23. Carrera R. 35. Dejesus R. 39. Medina A. 17. Morales L. (G) 28. Ontivero O. 32. Orozco F. 33. Ramirez J. 19. Rodriguez A.
11. Briasco N. 28. Corbalan F. 39. Di Biasi F. 20. Giampaoli R. 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 29. Mammini I. 34. Mamut L. 3. Mastrangelo D. 16. Max A. 8. Merlini B. 24. Merlo J. 93. Moreno J.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.
Zaniratto F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
29', De Blasis P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Castro L. 🟨,
64', Castro L. ↓, Mammini I. ↑,
64', Panaro M. ↓, Max A. ↑,
64', Castillo R. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
64', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Carrera R. ↑,
65', Salvio E. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
77', De Blasis P. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
86', Sosa A. ↓, Di Biasi F. ↑,
89', Perez G. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 3).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Belleville won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Belleville won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 55:65 (average 2.8:3.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Belleville won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31:27 (average 3.1:2.7).