Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia La Plata		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	3.5	Watch
	2.45	2.7	3.4
	2.55	2.65	3.35
	2.52	2.73	3.67
	2.48	2.75	3.55	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3.1
	2.41	2.9	3.42	Watch
	2.55	2.65	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.75)	2.76 ↓ (3.04)	3.42 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
38%

Draw
34.3%

San Lorenzo
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

32.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Gimnasia La Plata - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Morales L. (C) 6. Suso G. 14. Silva Torrejon P. 19. Castro L. 93. Moreno J. 34. Mamut L. 8. Merlini B. 30. Castillo R. 11. Briasco N.	12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 36. Herrera D. 37. Baez E. 5. Irala E. 24. Tripichio N. 21. Braida M. 11. Reali M. 7. Cerutti E. 28. Cuello A.
Substitutes
28. Corbalan F. 35. Cortazzo J. 10. De Blasis P. 5. Fernandez M. 20. Giampaoli R. 23. Insfran N. (G) 29. Mammini I. 3. Mastrangelo D. 22. Melluso M. 38. Panaro M. 25. Sosa A.	30. Arias N. 15. Cecchini E. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 16. Dominguez N. 41. Escalante V. 19. Insaurralde M. 50. Ladstatter A. 53. Pedroza R. 22. Salinardi Branco 26. Vega J. 9. Vombergar A. 51. Zelaya M. A.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Russo M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 2.

Recent matches Gimnasia La Plata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Lorenzo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Gimnasia La Plata have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Gonzalez G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Broken Hand) Hernandez G. (Injury) Muniain I. (Muscle Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:18 (average 0.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.01.25	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	3:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
18.01.25	Cerro Largo - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Gimnasia La Plata	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.12.24	Platense - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLL
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.01.25	San Lorenzo - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
19.01.25	San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle	1:0 penalties ✺
16.01.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
13.01.25	Nacional Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.12.24	San Lorenzo - Tigre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.07.24	Gimnasia La Plata - San Lorenzo	0:1
Serie Rio de la Plata
15.01.24	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.03.23	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia La Plata	4:0
12.10.22	Gimnasia La Plata - San Lorenzo	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.02.22	Gimnasia La Plata - San Lorenzo	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.11.21	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
04.01.21	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2

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