Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lancaster City		Cleethorpes Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.78
	2.35	3.45	2.7
	2.36	3.65	2.69	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.7
	2.29	3.34	2.65
	2.25	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.19)	3.33 ↓ (3.46)	2.72 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
39.5%

Draw
27.2%

Cleethorpes Town
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.8%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cleethorpes Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleethorpes Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Lancaster City - Cleethorpes Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lancaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lancaster won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Cleethorpes	14	9	3	2	31:9	22	30
12	Lancaster	16	6	2	8	20:29	-9	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Lancaster City - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Prescot Cables - Lancaster City	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Hednesford Town - Lancaster City	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lancaster City - Leek Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW
- Cleethorpes Town
English NPL Premier Division
17.03.26	Prescot Cables - Cleethorpes Town	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Warrington Rylands - Cleethorpes Town	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Whitby Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Cleethorpes Town - Lancaster City	2:2

Lancaster City - Cleethorpes Town