Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 34

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Lancaster City		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.45	4.15
	1.72	3.81	4.16
	1.73	3.89	4.24	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.2
	1.77	3.74	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	3.66 ↑ (3.63)	4.2 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
53.2%

Draw
25%

Warrington Town
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Lancaster City - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Evangelinos N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Rodwell-Grant J. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Shaw J. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 0.

In recent matches, Lancaster has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Warrington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lancaster is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Lancaster: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warrington	10	5	3	2	20:16	4	18
12	Lancaster	12	5	1	6	16:24	-8	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
28.02.26	Prescot Cables - Lancaster City	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Hednesford Town - Lancaster City	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lancaster City - Leek Town	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Lancaster City - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Guiseley - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLT
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
28.02.26	Warrington Town - Hyde United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Guiseley - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Warrington Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Ashton United - Warrington Town	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Cleethorpes Town - Warrington Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.10.25	Warrington Town - Lancaster City	3:2
07.02.23	Warrington Town - Lancaster City	2:0
18.10.22	Lancaster City - Warrington Town	0:1
04.12.21	Warrington Town - Lancaster City	5:1
07.09.21	Lancaster City - Warrington Town	0:1
24.10.20	Lancaster City - Warrington Town	2:1
01.02.20	Lancaster City - Warrington Town	2:1

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