Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 14

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Rizhao International Football Centre Stadium (Rizhao)


	Lanzhou Longyuan		Dalian Kun City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3	1.98
				Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.21
	3.08	3.27	2.19
	4	3.1	1.83
	3.59	3.08	2.03
	4.3	3.15	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (4.11)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanzhou Longyuan
25.3%

Draw
29.2%

Dalian Kun City
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

29.2%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

28.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Kun City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lanzhou Longyuan - Dalian Kun City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mu Qianyu (G) 2. Chen Zefeng 10. Pan Yuchen 18. Zeng Y. 6. Wei Xin 19. Chen Z. 7. Sun Yue 22. Liu Zefeng 39. Chen Kerui 33. Gao Yixuan 45. Chen Yu	16. Wang Zhuo (G) 17. Yang Fan 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 2. Geng Xiaoshun 6. Ge Hailun 8. Han Xu 23. Yin Lu 30. Yu Zeyuan 10. Zhu Shiyu 49. Yan Shoukuan 9. Zhou Bingxu
Substitutes
9. Bai T. 28. Esqer Iskender 15. Liu Y. 20. Li Yu 47. Su Jiale 11. Tai Jianfeng 49. Wang Tao 17. Wang Zeyang 4. Xiao Yufeng 14. Ying Yuxiao 29. Zhang Z. 1. Zuo Zhenghong (G)	47. Ablimit F. 55. Ali M. 26. Cai Haochen (G) 28. Cui Hao 11. Ge Yuxiang 4. Liu J. 40. Liu Zhizhi 24. Ouyang Bang 32. Song Chen 19. Xu Xin 60. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Qu W.	Zhao Faqing

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Zhu Shiyu 🟨,
30', Zhu Shiyu ↓, Cui Hao ↑,
42', Liu Zefeng 🟨,
45+2', Chen Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yu Zeyuan ↓, Liu Zhizhi ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Chen Yu ⚽, Pan Yuchen (A),
57', Han Xu 🟨,
61', Yang Fan 🟨,
61', Zhou Bingxu ↓, Ge Yuxiang ↑,
61', Yan Shoukuan ↓, Ali M. ↑,
65', Gao Yixuan ↓, Ying Yuxiao ↑,
65', Sun Yue ↓, Bai T. ↑,
70', Ge Hailun ↓, Song Chen ↑,
77', Chen Yu ↓, Su Jiale ↑,
77', Chen Zefeng ↓, Li Yu ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Zeng Y. ⚽, Pan Yuchen (A),
87', 2 - 1, Liu Zhizhi ⚽,
90+6', Pan Yuchen ↓, Esqer Iskender ↑,
90+9', Geng Xiaoshun 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
24.06.24	Taian Tiankuang - Lanzhou Longyuan	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1 ✺
Chinese Yi League
15.06.24	Shandong Taishan B - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:2 ✺
08.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Beijing Institute of Technology	0:0 ✺
02.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLTL
- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
22.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Dalian Kun City	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Shandong Taishan B	0:2 ✺
01.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Shaanxi Union - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
15.04.24	Dalian Kun City - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:1

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