Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Lanús		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.5	Watch
	2	3	4.2
	2.02	3.05	4.2	Watch
	2	3.1	4.96
	2.47	2.55	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.15	4.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.89)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	4.36 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
46.2%

Draw
31.9%

Independiente Rivadavia
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

30.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

29.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 3. Morgantini N. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 2. Munoz E. 6. Marcich S. 11. Salvio E. 30. Cardozo A. 39. Medina A. 36. Segovia A. 9. Bou W. 10. Marcelino Moreno	1. Centurion E. (G) 21. Cardillo M. 40. Villalba I. 13. Osella A. 42. Studer S. 14. Gomez L. 5. Bottari T. 25. Amarfil M. 26. Fernandez M. 22. Villa S. (C) 43. Sartori F.
Substitutes
7. Acosta L. 25. Aquino D. 13. Canale Dominguez J. 14. Canelo A. 19. Castillo R. 37. De Martis T. 1. Dieguiz E. (G) 47. Laplace T. 21. Mendez A. 4. Perez G. 32. Quiroz T. 50. Sanchez F.	9. Arce A. 44. Bergara M. 36. Bonifacio E. 8. Bucca L. 6. Flores S. 23. Marinelli G. (G) 18. Munoz S. 24. Ortega T. 34. Retamar K. 27. Souto P. 11. Tonetto D. 31. Valenti M.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Bou W. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
64', Cardillo M. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
64', Osella A. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
72', Amarfil M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
72', Fernandez M. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
75', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
75', Bou W. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
80', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
80', Sartori F. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
86', Castillo R. 🟥,
89', Salvio E. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
90', Medina A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
90+1', Morgantini N. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Lanús is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lanús: Carrera R. (Muscle Injury) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Independiente R: Costa L. (Red Card) Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Copa Argentina
08.09.25	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.25	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Lanús - River Plate	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.08.25	Lanús - Central Córdoba	2:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWW
- Independiente Rivadavia
Copa Argentina
05.09.25	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
07.08.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús	1:1
12.05.24	Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2
Copa Argentina
20.07.19	Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0

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