Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Malaysia	Mola
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 3 North
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Pluto TV, TyC Sports Internacional


	Libertad Asuncion		River Plate

	1	X	2
	5	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.95
	4.95	3.25	1.85	Watch
	5.11	3.25	1.87
	4.13	2.94	2.08	Watch
	4	3.1	1.91	Watch
	4.66	3.34	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (4.41)	3.19 ↓ (3.46)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
20.8%

Draw
29.7%

River Plate
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.3%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

26.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	75%	16.7%

Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - River Plate (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 10%). River Plate (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (C) 3. Rojas R. 5. Viera D. 4. Gimenez N. 2. Ramirez I. 21. Sanabria L. 6. Campuzano A. 10. Melgarejo L. 18. Franco I. 20. Fernandez H. 11. Aguilar G.	1. Armani F. (G) 4. Montiel G. 14. Boselli S. 17. Diaz P. 21. Acuna M. 22. Castano K. 24. Perez E. (C) 23. Galarza M. 39. Lencina S. 9. Miguel Borja 11. Colidio F.
Substitutes
13. Bogarin J. 26. Caballero H. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 7. Cardozo O. 28. Fernandez M. 31. Fernandez T. 27. Jacquet M. 22. Martinez H. 19. Recalde J. 29. Rojas V. (G) 24. Santa C. R. 35. Troche A.	41. Beltran S. (G) 16. Bustos F. 20. Casco M. 15. Driussi S. 26. Fernandez N. 36. Gimenez U. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 25. Ledesma C. (G) 18. Martinez P. 5. Portillo J. 10. Quintero J. 38. Subiabre I.
Coaches
Aquino S.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lencina S. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
46', Miguel Borja ↓, Driussi S. ↑,
46', Castano K. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
58', Franco I. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
58', Aguilar G. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
78', Fernandez H. 🟨,
81', Fernandez H. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
81', Campuzano A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
85', Recalde J. 🟨,
86', Rojas R. 🟨,
90+1', Sanabria L. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, River Plate is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Driussi S. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Quarta L. (Knee Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Portillo J. (Tendon Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.08.25	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:1 ✺
04.08.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion	0:4 ✺
31.07.25	Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	3:1 ✺
26.07.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWL
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.25	Independiente - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
02.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - River Plate	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.07.25	River Plate - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Instituto Córdoba - River Plate	0:4 ✺
13.07.25	River Plate - Platense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWW

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