Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday


	San Martín de Tucumán		River Plate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	3.9	1.43
	8	3.95	1.43	Watch
	7.8	3.85	1.42
	7.80	3.81	1.47	Watch
	7.5	3.8	1.44
	7.95	3.88	1.43	Watch
	9.4	5.3	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.81 ↓ (9.9)	4.07 ↓ (4.65)	1.41 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
11.8%

Draw
22.7%

River Plate
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.3%

19.9%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

8.9%

18.9%

74.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

San Martín de Tucumán - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 50%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martin T (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - River Plate (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martin T (votes: 2 - 66.7%). River Plate (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (G) 4. Murillo F. 3. Zuliani H. 5. Garcia M. 6. Rodriguez G. 8. Soraire J. 2. Osores M. 10. Hachen G. 9. Spetale A. 11. Castro N. 7. Garcia F.	1. Armani F. (G) 4. Montiel G. 21. Acuna M. 24. Perez E. (C) 6. Pezzella G. 17. Diaz P. 22. Castano K. 23. Galarza M. 39. Lencina S. 9. Miguel Borja 11. Colidio F.
Substitutes
15. Bordon A. 17. Cainelli N. 12. Carrizo N. (G) . Cuevas J. 20. Esquivel J. 22. Gonzalez M. E. . Monje L. 16. Penalba T. . Pino M. 14. Quiroz F. 21. Rodriguez G. 23. Vera U.	14. Boselli S. 16. Bustos F. 20. Casco M. 27. Dadin B. 26. Fernandez N. 35. Giorgio 34. Giuliano Galoppo 25. Ledesma C. (G) 28. Martinez Quarta L. 47. Meza J. 8. Quintero J. 38. Subiabre I.
Coaches
Campodonico M.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Montiel G. ⚽, Pezzella G. (A),
36', Garcia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Pezzella G. 🟨,
56', Miguel Borja 🟨,
58', Galarza M. 🟨,
60', Lencina S. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
63', Spetale A. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
63', Hachen G. ↓, Pino M. ↑,
64', Perez E. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Giuliano Galoppo ⚽, Miguel Borja (A),
72', Castro N. ↓, Cuevas J. ↑,
78', Murillo F. 🟨,
79', Soraire J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
79', Garcia F. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Montiel G. ⚽, Colidio F. (A),

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent performances by San Martin T have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

River Plate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, River Plate has had a series of home games.

In this match, River Plate is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.07.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Güemes - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTWLL
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.07.25	River Plate - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Instituto Córdoba - River Plate	0:4 ✺
13.07.25	River Plate - Platense	3:1 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
25.06.25	Inter Milan - River Plate	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	River Plate - Monterrey	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWWLT

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