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Current Win Probability
Lanús 58.1%
Draw 27.7%
San Martín de San Juan 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
27.2%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.3%
26.1%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
0%
36.4%
Lanús - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 35.2% – 92%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - San Martín (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lanús will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 4 - 66.7%). San Martín (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 21. Mendez A. 24. Izquierdoz C. 35. Dejesus R. 6. Marcich S. 30. Cardozo A. 23. Carrera R. 11. Salvio E. 10. Marcelino Moreno 33. Ramirez J. 20. Cabrera B.
1. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Molina A. 20. Burgos E. 29. Lecanda T. 3. Alvarez L. 16. Portillo A. 49. Gonzalez D. 21. Watson N. 22. Jaurena S. 28. Iacobellis M. 25. Toloza F.
Substitutes
25. Aquino D. 9. Bou W. 14. Canelo A. 13. Cardozo L. 39. Medina A. 17. Morales L. (G) 3. Morgantini N. 2. Munoz E. 28. Ontivero O. 32. Orozco F. 5. Pena Biafore F. 36. Segovia A.
14. Adin D. 2. Caseres R. 15. Cavallaro J. 30. Diarte L. 19. Escalante L. T. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Gonzalez S. 37. Menendez J. 5. Pelaitay N. 24. Pernia E. 6. Recalde L. 13. Velazco M. (G)
Coaches
Pellegrino M.
Romagnoli L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Molina A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramirez J. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
46', Cabrera B. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
55', Carrera R. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Marcelino Moreno ⚽,
68', Molina A. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
72', Toloza F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
73', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
78', Jaurena S. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
78', Mendez A. 🟨,
79', Lecanda T. 🟨,
85', Gonzalez D. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
88', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
90+2', Iacobellis M. 🟨,
90+5', Cardozo A. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lanús is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
Aguilar B.
(Knee Injury)
Bou W.
(Ankle Injury)
Canelo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Morgantini N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in San Martín: Anselmo F.
(Inactive)
Casa M.
(Injury)
Montagna E.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Lanús: Perez G.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
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Losada N. (G) 
Mendez A. 
Dejesus R. 
Pernia E. 
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