Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 4
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	Disney+


	Lanús		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.75	7	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6.5
	1.55	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.58	3.79	6.45	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5	Watch
	1.57	3.72	6.42	Watch
	1.52	3.42	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)	3.83 ↑ (3.79)	6.37 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
61.2%

Draw
24.2%

FBC Melgar
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Lanús - FBC Melgar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (6.07) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lanús will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 4. Perez G. 24. Izquierdoz C. 2. Munoz E. 6. Marcich S. 39. Medina A. 30. Cardozo A. 25. Aquino D. 10. Marcelino Moreno 11. Salvio E. 20. Cabrera B.	12. Caceda C. (G) 33. Lazo M. 6. Gonzalez L. 2. Barrios P. 27. Cabanillas N. 15. Orzan H. 28. Arias A. 7. Bordacahar C. 10. Martinez T. 26. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 11. Castro F.
Substitutes
43. Acosta B. 13. Cardozo L. 23. Carrera R. 41. Chavero J. 35. Dejesus R. 21. Mendez A. 17. Morales L. (G) 28. Ontivero O. 32. Orozco F. 33. Ramirez J. 19. Rodriguez A. 50. Sanchez F.	25. Barreda M. 20. Bernaola G. 21. Cabezudo J. (G) 5. Deneumostier A. 8. Guzman L. 17. Liza P. 13. Llontop M. 37. Pumacajia A. 4. Ramos E. 19. Rodriguez G. 77. Saba E. 24. Tandazo W.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Ribonetto W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Orzan H. 🟨,
37', Aquino D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Marcelino Moreno ⚽, Cabrera B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Salvio E. ⚽, Cabrera B. (A),
63', Cabrera B. ↓, Orozco F. ↑,
63', Aquino D. ↓, Carrera R. ↑,
63', Castro F. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
63', Orzan H. ↓, Tandazo W. ↑,
69', Martinez T. 🟨,
76', Salvio E. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
76', Barrios P. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
76', Bordacahar C. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Orozco F. ⚽, Marcich S. (A),
81', Martinez T. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
84', Munoz E. ↓, Dejesus R. ↑,
84', Cardozo A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+1', Rodriguez A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Lanús is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melgar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lanús could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lanús is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Lanús - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	Academia Puerto Cabello - Lanús	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	San Lorenzo - Lanús	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Lanús - Instituto Córdoba	4:1 ✺
08.03.25	Platense - Lanús	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTWT
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.25	FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma	4:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	FBC Melgar - Vasco da Gama	3:3 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
27.03.25	Ayacucho - FBC Melgar	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.03.25	Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar	4:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
08.03.25	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLW

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