Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Clandeboye Park (Bangor)

Referee: Dunlop R. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Bangor		Larne

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.7	1.63
	4.45	3.95	1.62
	4.74	4.13	1.66
	4.61	3.70	1.72	Watch
	5	3.6	1.67
	4.94	3.74	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.61)	3.8 ↓ (3.88)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangor
19.6%

Draw
24.4%

Larne
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

23.8%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

22.9%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Bangor - Larne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deane G. (G) 9. Arthurs B. 10. Cushnie B. 7. Hassin L. 4. Haughey M. 17. Lynch H. 2. McGuinness C. 28. McGuinness S. 8. Mulvenna T. 3. Neale R. 15. O'Mahony J.	1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. 6. Gallagher C. 11. Graham S. 30. Lusty M. 14. Magee B. 19. Nolan R. 10. O'Connor T. 8. Randall M. 3. Ridley M. 47. Simpson J.
Substitutes
. Francis L. 20. Garrett R. 12. McArthur S. 25. Morgan M. 37. Osew P. 5. Owens K. 36. Solis Grogan P. (G)	26. Bent D. 36. Graham D. (G) 40. Harkin M. 22. McEneff J. 7. McKendry C. 27. Moore K. 46. Wallace L.
Coaches
Feeney L.	Haveron G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', O'Mahony J. ↓, Morgan M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Simpson J. ↓, Bent D. ↑,
49', McGuinness C. ↓, Francis L. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, McKendry C. ⚽,
83', McGuinness S. ↓, Owens K. ↑,
83', Mulvenna T. ↓, Garrett R. ↑,
83', Cushnie B. ↓, Osew P. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Magee B. ⚽,
90+1', Lusty M. ↓, Harkin M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Larne is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bangor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:11. (average 0:5.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bangor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:11. (average 0:5.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Premiership
30.08.25	Bangor - Dungannon Swifts	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Ballymena United - Bangor	4:0 ✺
19.08.25	Bangor - Crusaders	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Glentoran - Bangor	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Bangor - Cliftonville	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLLW
- Larne FC
Northern Irish Premiership
29.08.25	Larne - Ballymena United	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Larne - Portadown	4:0 ✺
19.08.25	Cliftonville - Larne	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Santa Clara - Larne	0:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
10.08.25	Coleraine - Larne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.06.23	Bangor - Larne	0:6
Northern Irish Cup
08.01.22	Bangor - Larne	0:5

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