Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Izzi TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Las Palmas		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.50	4.00	Watch
	1.93	3.20	3.80
	1.95	3.15	3.60	Watch
	1.98	3.30	4.53
	1.97	3.25	4.19	Watch
	1.94	3.25	4.45
	1.97	3.36	4.23	Watch
	1.96	3.35	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	3.3 ↑ (2.92)	4.08 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
48.4%

Draw
28.6%

Burgos
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

32.3%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

31.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Las Palmas - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caro J. (G) 25. Pezzolesi V. 15. Herzog J. 21. Bonfanti G. 12. Loiodice E. 11. Miyashiro T. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 6. Gonzalez I. 24. Ivan Jaime 14. Fuster M. 10. Jese	13. Cantero A. (G) 23. Dadie Izagirre A. 15. Luengo O. 8. Sierra G. 22. Martinez B. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 5. Exposito M. 12. Vencedor U. 19. Llabres J. 16. Sanchez C. (C) 7. Karrikaburu J.
Substitutes
16. Acimovic M. 7. Betancor J. 32. Cruz R. 30. Medina I. 43. Mogedano E. (G) 40. Perez A. 19. Ramirez S. 9. Recoba J. 23. Rodriguez A. 29. Romero E. 42. Saiah R. 35. Suarez A. (G)	17. Cantero M. 18. del Cerro S. 9. Fores A. 4. Galdames P. 21. Garcia F. 20. Gragera J. 39. Hernaiz D. 1. Iribarne B. (G) 24. Lencina S. 36. Martinez I. 11. Mollejo V. 3. Vilarrasa I.
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Francisco S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Fuster M. 🟨,
34', Loiodice E. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Jese ⚽, Fuster M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sanchez C. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
46', Exposito M. ↓, Gragera J. ↑,
56', Gragera J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Fores A. ⚽, Karrikaburu J. (A),
64', Fuster M. ↓, Cruz R. ↑,
67', Martinez B. ↓, Vilarrasa I. ↑,
67', Karrikaburu J. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
71', Miyashiro T. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
71', Ivan Jaime ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
73', Luengo O. 🟨,
75', Luengo O. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
80', Jese ↓, Medina I. ↑,
80', Rodriguez K. ↓, Romero E. ↑,
87', Sierra G. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ⚽, Llabres J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 0.

Las Palmas is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Burgos have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Las Palmas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Las Palmas holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Las Palmas: Alex Suarez (Injury) Arvelo A. (Coach's decision) Cedeno E. (Hamstring Injury) Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Marvin (Injury) Opoku N. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Ruiz S. (Injury) Viti Rozada (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Burgos: Lizancos A. (Knee Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas has recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Las Palmas against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 0:4 goals (averaging 0:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Burgos CF: 4.78% Las Palmas: 3.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Las Palmas - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.5%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
12.09.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Las Palmas - Leganés	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Girona - Las Palmas	5:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ceuta - Las Palmas	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
11.09.26	Burgos - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Burgos - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:0
07.09.25	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0
06.02.23	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0
01.11.22	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:2
13.02.22	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:2
20.09.21	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0

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