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Las Palmas vs Leganés Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, April 17, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 36

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Las Palmas		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.93	5.44
	1.67	3.91	5.03	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.8
	1.69	3.95	4.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	3.83 ↑ (3.67)	4.93 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
56.4%

Draw
24.5%

Leganés
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25.5%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 6. Sergio Barcia 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 16. Amatucci L. 22. Garcia A. 14. Fuster M. 39. Pedrola E. 10. Jese	1. Soriano J. (C) 36. Leiva M. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 17. Garcia N. 26. Guirao C. 24. Diawara A. 11. Duk 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 23. Millan A.
Substitutes
4. Alex Suarez 7. Benedetti N. 49. Bravo I. 13. Caro J. (G) 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 24. Pejino 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J. 17. Viti	6. Aguilar Lopez G. 21. Campos A. 32. Fernandez S. 22. Figueredo S. 19. Garcia D. 31. Garrido J. (G) 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 20. Plano O. 4. Pulido R. 48. Rodriguez G. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Garcia L.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Pedrola E. ⚽,
34', Fuster M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Pedrola E. ↓, Viti ↑,
61', Leiva M. ↓, Aguilar Lopez G. ↑,
61', Cisse S. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Fuster M. ⚽, Amatucci L. (A),
69', Miquel I. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
72', Garcia A. ↓, Pejino ↑,
72', Jese ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
73', Marvin ↓, Gil I. ↑,
78', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
84', Cruz J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
84', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
87', Fuster M. ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
90', Clemente E. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Las Palmas is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Loiodice E. (Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Pena R. (Muscle Injury) Saenz J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Cisse S. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

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Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Las Palmas: 3.21%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Las Palmas	36	16	12	8	47:30	17	60
15	Leganes	36	10	12	14	40:40	0	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
11.04.26	Málaga - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Las Palmas - Huesca	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Las Palmas - Granada	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Eibar - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
11.04.26	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Almería - Leganés	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Leganés - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Málaga - Leganés	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Leganés - Ceuta	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.09.25	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
18.05.25	Las Palmas - Leganés	0:1
25.08.24	Leganés - Las Palmas	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
18.02.23	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:0
09.09.22	Las Palmas - Leganés	1:0
28.03.22	Las Palmas - Leganés	4:2
28.11.21	Leganés - Las Palmas	4:1

Las Palmas - Leganés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide