Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 35

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)


	Las Palmas		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	5.75	Watch
	1.8	2.95	4.8
	1.76	3.1	5.75
	1.85	3.1	5.82
	1.78	3.16	5.6	Watch
	1.77	3.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	5.52 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
52.5%

Draw
30.4%

Real Oviedo
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28.9%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

29.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.6%	5.7%	5.7%

Las Palmas - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.03% – 99.11%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 17).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (22.02%), project points - 73, currently - 62, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (56%), a good chance of promoted (56%), a chance of win league (22%).

Oviedo has the most likely position - 16 (12.72%), project points - 51, currently - 40, a small chance of relegated (6%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 36, importance 52, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Oviedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
03.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
26.03.23	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Tenerife - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
11.03.23	Las Palmas - Málaga	2:2 ✺
03.03.23	FC Andorra - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.23	Real Oviedo - Eibar	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Granada - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
10.03.23	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Mirandés - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.12.22	Real Oviedo - Las Palmas	0:0
21.05.22	Las Palmas - Real Oviedo	2:1
06.11.21	Real Oviedo - Las Palmas	1:1
10.04.21	Real Oviedo - Las Palmas	0:0
31.10.20	Las Palmas - Real Oviedo	1:2
08.07.20	Real Oviedo - Las Palmas	2:1
24.11.19	Las Palmas - Real Oviedo	3:1

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