Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Granada		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.25
	2.36	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.62
	2.43	3	3.28	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.4
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.36	2.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.12)	2.97 ↓ (3)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Granada
40.2%

Draw
31.6%

Real Oviedo
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	56%	8%

Granada - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Oviedo will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marino D. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 4. Rubio M. 16. Lama M. 15. Neva C. 23. Trigueros M. 8. Villar G. 20. Ruiz S. 21. Rebbach A. 7. Boye L. 10. Stoichkov	13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 21. Pomares C. 10. Portillo F. 11. Colombatto S. 6. Sibo K. 16. Chaira I. 23. Hassan H. 9. Alemao
Substitutes
30. Balde S. 17. Baston B. 37. Haro P. 38. Isachenko B. (G) 32. Lendinez J. 13. Martinez M. (G) 28. Oppong O. 26. Rodelas S. 12. Sanchez R. 9. Weissman S. 24. Williams L.	24. Ahijado L. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 31. Chukwuma E. 18. de la Fuente P. 17. de la Hoz C. 15. Luengo O. 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 20. Seoane J.
Coaches
Escriba F.	Calleja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Boye L. ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Portillo F. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
53', Alemao 🟨,
58', Costas D. 🟨,
58', Sibo K. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
63', Rebbach A. 🟨,
69', Chaira I. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
69', Alemao ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
71', Hassan H. 🟨,
72', Stoichkov ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
72', Rebbach A. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
78', Hassan H. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
82', Trigueros M. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
87', Boye L. ↓, Baston B. ↑,
87', Villar G. ↓, Williams L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Oviedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Granada will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Granada: Williams L. (Muscle Injury) Zidane L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Granada: Brau M. (Muscle Injury) Jozwiak K. (Muscle Injury) Lendinez J. (Ankle Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Granada won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
16.03.25	Cádiz - Granada	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Granada - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Córdoba - Granada	5:0 ✺
22.02.25	Granada - Zaragoza	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Huesca - Granada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
14.03.25	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Mirandés - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Real Oviedo - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Burgos - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Real Oviedo - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.24	Real Oviedo - Granada	2:0
26.03.23	Granada - Real Oviedo	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	Real Oviedo - Granada	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
06.11.22	Real Oviedo - Granada	1:0
05.05.19	Real Oviedo - Granada	1:1
15.12.18	Granada - Real Oviedo	1:0
18.03.18	Real Oviedo - Granada	2:1

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