Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 30

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albacete Balompié		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.78	3.05	2.52
	2.98	3.15	2.65
	2.83	3.13	2.63	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.5
	3.08	3.12	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.67)	3.08 ↓ (3.32)	2.52 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
32.4%

Draw
30.4%

Las Palmas
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.5%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	52.2%	39.1%

Albacete Balompié - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 52.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Albacete (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lizoain R. (C) 2. Lorenzo 24. Vallejo J. 23. Pepe 21. Neva C. 3. Jogo 7. Puertas A. 8. Fernandez M. 6. Pacheco A. 11. Valverde V. 19. Rubio A.	1. Horkas D. (G) 17. Viti 3. Marmol M. 6. Sergio Barcia 5. Clemente E. 14. Fuster M. 12. Loiodice E. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 22. Garcia A. 10. Jese 18. Miyashiro T.
Substitutes
27. Bernabeu D. 10. Betancor J. 15. Gamez F. 16. Lazo J. 22. Lopez L. 17. Melendez A. 5. Moreno J. 20. Obeng S. 30. Ramos M. (G) 14. San Bartolome V. 18. Villar J.	4. Alex Suarez 16. Amatucci L. 7. Benedetti N. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 30. Killane A. (G) 39. Pedrola E. 24. Pejino 19. Ramirez S. 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Fuster M. (A),
45+1', Marmol M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Valverde V. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
46', Lorenzo 🟨,
55', Moreno J. 🟨,
63', Rodriguez K. ↓, Amatucci L. ↑,
63', Fuster M. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
75', Lazo J. ↓, San Bartolome V. ↑,
76', Rubio A. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
76', Lorenzo ↓, Gamez F. ↑,
76', Garcia A. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
83', Fernandez M. ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
86', Viti ↓, Pejino ↑,
86', Clemente E. ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
89', Amatucci L. 🟨,
90+1', Pacheco A. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Betancor J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+11', 2 - 1, Obeng S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 1.

Recent form of Albacete has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Las Palmas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Albacete: Bernabeu D. (Knee Injury) Cedeno E. (Injury) Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Marino D. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Gil I. (Inactive) Marvin (Inactive) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Albacete: Agus Medina (Ankle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Las Palmas - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
07.03.26	Huesca - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Almería	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLTL
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.26	Las Palmas - Ceuta	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Leonesa - Las Palmas	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Las Palmas - Castellón	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandés - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.11.25	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1
03.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Las Palmas	1:2
11.12.22	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	1:2
24.05.21	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	3:2
28.10.20	Albacete Balompié - Las Palmas	1:1
24.06.20	Albacete Balompié - Las Palmas	0:0
27.09.19	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	3:2

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