Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Lax Franco S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 1, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar Plus+ 1, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Tenerife		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	3.4	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3.1
	2.55	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.56	2.83	3.45
	2.52	2.79	3.38	Watch
	2.4	2.88	3.2
	2.58	2.7	3.41	Watch
	2.55	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.31)	2.78 ↓ (2.91)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
37.4%

Draw
33.8%

Zaragoza
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

32.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	23.8%	47.6%

Tenerife - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrasco S. (G) 22. Mellot J. 24. Gaya J. 4. Leon J. 3. Medrano F. 32. Fernandez D. 5. Gonzalez S. 33. Martin Luis A. 11. Cruz Luismi 8. Diarra Y. 9. Rodriguez A.	13. Poussin G. (G) 19. Calero I. 24. Lopez L. 15. Vital B. 4. Tasende D. 20. Ares A. 6. Bare K. 8. Aguado M. 23. Aketxe A. 7. Soberon M. 11. Bazdar S.
Substitutes
29. Alvarez C. 12. Alves R. 15. Bodiger Y. 18. Enric 23. Juande 27. Manjam A. 20. Mesa M. 10. Moreno M. 13. Nadal T. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 17. Rubio W. 35. Sabina F. 34. Senhadji Y.	1. Alvarez C. (G) 9. Azon I. 10. Bermejo 5. Clemente E. 25. Femenias J. (G) 14. Francho 3. Jair 12. Kosa S. 33. Liso A. 2. Luna M. 22. Mari A. 21. Moya T. 29. Sans P.
Coaches
Mel P.	Fernandez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Martin Luis A. ⚽, Medrano F. (A),
25', Gonzalez S. 🟥,
37', Leon J. 🟨,
45+4', Gaya J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Soberon M. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
46', Aguado M. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Enric ↑,
46', Fernandez D. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
49', Tasende D. 🟨,
50', 2 - 0, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
60', Ares A. 🟨,
60', Ares A. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
60', Bare K. ↓, Liso A. ↑,
70', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
72', Cruz Luismi ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Bazdar S. ⚽,
75', Vital B. 🟨,
78', Medrano F. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Azon I. ⚽, Moya T. (A),
83', Martin Luis A. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Bazdar S. ⚽, Lopez L. (A),
90+4', Aketxe A. ↓, Francho ↑,
90+6', Rubio W. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 0.

Tenerife is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zaragoza is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tenerife will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Sanz A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Muscle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:20 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 0.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Tenerife - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Castellón - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Eibar - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Tenerife - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLTLL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Zaragoza - Levante	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Zaragoza - Elche	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.24	Zaragoza - Tenerife	3:1
26.08.23	Tenerife - Zaragoza	0:1
26.05.23	Zaragoza - Tenerife	1:1
28.10.22	Tenerife - Zaragoza	0:2
02.04.22	Tenerife - Zaragoza	1:1
19.12.21	Zaragoza - Tenerife	0:2
06.03.21	Zaragoza - Tenerife	1:0

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