Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)


	Las Vegas Lights		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.5	3
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.15	3.6	3.14
	2.15	3.56	3.14
	2.12	3.57	3.03	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.26)	3.57 ↑ (3.46)	3.09 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
44.1%

Draw
25.9%

Rhode Island
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Las Vegas Lights - Rhode Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Arozarena R. (G) 20. Smart S. 4. Garcia F. 33. Nigro G. (C) 24. Howell M. 26. Ngando J. 14. Asante S. 8. Gannon C. 27. Noel V. 72. Samake G. 9. Alba R.	22. Lee J. (G) 3. Turnbull S. 15. Nodarse F. 24. Yao K. 16. Alves G. A. 11. Fuson N. 12. Holstad C. 18. Brito J. 23. Ybarra M. 17. Kwizera J. 10. Dikwa A.
Substitutes
6. Adams C. 1. Ammeter N. (G) 90. Bennett K. 60. Crisostomo S. 79. Gue A. 7. Gyau J. 22. Hafferty J. 77. Romero A. 3. Sargis H.	14. Doyle M. 1. Koke Vegas (G) 2. Messer N. 7. Saydee P. 4. Smith C. 21. Twumasi K. 19. Vang K.
Coaches
Sanchez D.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Turnbull S. ⚽, Fuson N. (A),
28', Alba R. 🟨,
30', Lee J. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Fuson N. ⚽,
45+2', Nigro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gannon C. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
46', Garcia F. ↓, Hafferty J. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Noel V. ⚽, Samake G. (A),
62', Brito J. ↓, Twumasi K. ↑,
66', Howell M. ↓, Sargis H. ↑,
66', Nigro G. ↓, Gyau J. ↑,
71', Fuson N. ↓, Doyle M. ↑,
71', Turnbull S. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
74', Gyau J. 🟨,
76', Asante S. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
83', Kwizera J. ↓, Messer N. ↑,
90+1', Doyle M. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Las Vegas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rhode Island is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Las Vegas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Las Vegas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Las Vegas Lights - Spokane Velocity	2:1 ET ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLWWW
- Rhode Island FC
US Open Cup
16.04.24	Charlotte Independence - Rhode Island	5:4 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Rhode Island - Charleston Battery	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island	4:1 ✺
24.03.24	Monterey Bay - Rhode Island	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTLT

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