Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Las Vegas Lights		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.55
	2.6	3.38	2.47
				Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.54	3.28	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.58)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
36.1%

Draw
27.5%

Spokane Velocity
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Las Vegas Lights - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Miller C. (G) 3. Jones N. 5. Gartig E. (C) 24. Howell M. 23. Boudadi Y. 6. Pearson C. 17. Leal P. 20. Smart S. 11. Pinzon C. 30. Stojanovic S. 9. Pickering N.	1. Bilichuk R. (G) 2. Gil J. 4. Garcia D. 12. Miller C. 17. John-Brown S. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 18. Waldeck D. 10. Gil L. 9. Brett N. 11. Reedy P.
Substitutes
1. Ammeter N. (G) 41. Covil V. 7. Gyau J. 13. Humphrey T. 33. Nigro G. 27. Noel V. 42. Peeters D.	7. Akale M. 3. Crisler J. 19. Denton J. 15. Jome I. 23. Merancio C. (G) 16. Pelaez A. 8. Vinyals N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Stojanovic S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Howell M. ↓, Nigro G. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Pickering N. ⚽, Smart S. (A),
61', Fernandez C. ↓, Denton J. ↑,
61', Brett N. ↓, Pelaez A. ↑,
61', Gil J. ↓, Jome I. ↑,
65', Stojanovic S. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
65', Pearson C. ↓, Peeters D. ↑,
70', Pinzon C. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
74', Lewis A. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
74', Reedy P. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
83', Smart S. 🟨,
84', Smart S. ↓, Gyau J. ↑,
85', Denton J. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
21.06.25	Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights	3:0 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
28.05.25	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLL
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
21.06.25	Richmond Kickers - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	AV Alta - Spokane Velocity	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
28.05.25	Monterey Bay - Spokane Velocity	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
17.04.24	Las Vegas Lights - Spokane Velocity	2:1 ET

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