The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Las Vegas Lights 40.1%
Draw 25.9%
El Paso Locomotive 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
28.2%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
27%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Vegas Lights's performance.
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). El Paso will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - El Paso (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - El Paso (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. El Paso (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lanphier C. (G) 45. Pope B. 30. Ofeimu B. 33. Guillen A. 81. Antonoglou T. 11. Pinzon C. (C) 23. Ybarra M. 8. Scott K. 7. Mines B. 9. Arteaga M. 14. Rodriguez J.
99. Romero A. (G) 29. Hoban K. 21. Twumasi K. 15. Dollenmayer N. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 12. Ruiz R. 19. Mendez A. 16. Gabriel Torres 9. Abitia D. 14. Rubin R. 28. Mora O.
Substitutes
25. Anderson O. 3. Jones N. 18. Locker C. 96. Miller C. (G) 43. Okyere A. 27. Probo G. 6. Sessock N.
2. Cardona N. 23. Diaz G. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 5. Gomez D. 25. Ortiz A. 18. Quezada A. 8. Sainte C. 93. Tony Alfaro
Coaches
Rensing D.
Gonzalez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Mendez A. ⚽, Rubin R. (A),
43', Mines B. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Antonoglou T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hoban K. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
46', Mora O. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Quezada A. ⚽, Mendez A. (A),
66', Arteaga M. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
66', Mines B. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
66', Scott K. ↓, Probo G. ↑,
66', Gabriel Torres ↓, Sainte C. ↑,
67', Abitia D. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
69', Ybarra M. 🟨,
77', Ruiz R. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
80', Ortiz A. 🟨,
86', Ybarra M. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.
In recent matches, Las Vegas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
El Paso has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
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Lanphier C. (G) 
Guillen A. 
Antonoglou T. 
Arteaga M. 
Dollenmayer N. 
Calvillo E. (C) 
Gabriel Torres 
Rubin R. 
Anderson O. 
Okyere A. 
Probo G. 
Cardona N. 
Sainte C. 
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