Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas)

Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)


	Las Vegas Lights		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.1
	3.05	3.15	2.23
	3.25	3.48	2.16
	3.06	3.48	2.12	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.94)	3.37 ↓ (3.45)	2.16 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
30.3%

Draw
27.2%

Rio Grande Valley
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.5%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Users Predictions: Rio Grande Valley will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz L. (G) 4. Stauffer L. 5. Lage M. 98. Zali T. 21. Mitrano A. 8. Preston T. E. 17. Bushue J. (C) 10. Ingram J. 30. Carleton A. 14. Dolling J. 20. Oteng E.	1. Deric T. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 4. Pimentel E. 6. Benitez G. 3. Ackwei W. 8. Davila T. 5. Cabezas J. 12. Ruiz R. 10. Pinzon C. 13. Cabrera W. 11. Galindrez J.
Substitutes
12. Bagley T. 3. Carroll Z. 11. Gonzalez A. 22. Jimenez A. 7. Rayyan I. 19. Rios D. 13. Zuluaga A. (G)	16. Coronado R. 29. Frame C. 23. Francois C. 19. Kinzner E. 21. Merancio C. (G) 20. Ritondale T. 7. Torres F.
Coaches
Sanchez I.	Cabrera W.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 2.

Las Vegas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rio Grande Valley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Las Vegas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Las Vegas have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Vegas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
29.07.23	Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Las Vegas Lights - Hartford Athletic	0:2 ✺
08.07.23	Las Vegas Lights - Birmingham Legion	3:3 ✺
04.07.23	Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTT
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
29.07.23	Rio Grande Valley - El Paso Locomotive	5:2 ✺
21.07.23	Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
15.07.23	El Paso Locomotive - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	Rio Grande Valley - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Sacramento Republic - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.03.23	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	1:1
27.08.22	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	0:5
17.07.22	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	0:1
27.07.19	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	2:1
20.04.19	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	5:2
04.08.18	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	1:0
14.07.18	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	2:0

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