Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento)

Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)


	Sacramento Republic		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.8	5.25
	1.6	3.85	4.8
	1.57	4.05	5.59
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.92	5.4	Watch
	1.54	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	3.87 ↓ (4)	5.29 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
59.1%

Draw
23.6%

Rio Grande Valley
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

22.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Sacramento Republic - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Vitiello D. (G) 5. Timmer J. 24. Donovan C. (C) 3. Viader D. 29. Lopez A. 25. Sousa F. 19. Ross N. 10. Lewis Z. 18. Fenwick J. 7. Keko 11. Cicerone R.	1. Deric T. (G) 15. Nodarse F. 3. Ackwei W. 4. Pimentel E. 2. Ricketts J. 6. Benitez G. 8. Davila T. 16. Coronado R. 12. Ruiz R. 13. Cabrera W. 9. Lopez F.
Substitutes
15. Jauregui R. 46. Padilla 1. Saldana C. (G) 40. Sanchez A.	17. Cerro I. 23. Francois C. 11. Galindrez J. 19. Kinzner E. 21. Merancio C. (G) 10. Pinzon C. 20. Ritondale T.
Coaches
Briggs M.	Cabrera W.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Rio Grande Valley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sacramento Republic is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
24.06.23	Sacramento Republic - San Antonio	3:1 ✺
17.06.23	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
09.06.23	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
26.05.23	Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTW
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
28.06.23	Oakland Roots - Rio Grande Valley	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Rio Grande Valley - Miami	3:3 ✺
03.06.23	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.08.22	Sacramento Republic - Rio Grande Valley	1:1
23.04.22	Rio Grande Valley - Sacramento Republic	2:1
15.09.19	Sacramento Republic - Rio Grande Valley	2:1
20.07.19	Rio Grande Valley - Sacramento Republic	2:1
11.08.18	Sacramento Republic - Rio Grande Valley	2:1
31.03.18	Rio Grande Valley - Sacramento Republic	2:2
09.09.17	Rio Grande Valley - Sacramento Republic	1:2

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