Match Info

Date: 3 July 2021, Saturday


	Las Vegas Lights		Tacoma Defiance

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.35	3.45	2.5
	2.35	3.45	2.55
	2.47	3.76	2.68
	2.35	3.4	2.62
	2.38	3.58	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.53)	3.51 ↑ (3.48)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
38.4%

Draw
26.1%

Tacoma Defiance
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

19.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Las Vegas Lights - Tacoma Defiance Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Las Vegas has the most likely position - 8 (36.22%), has project points - 30, has currently - 7, has a small chance of playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tacoma has the most likely position - 6 (21.97%), has project points - 37, has currently - 11, has a chance of playoffs (25%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Las Vegas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tacoma is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Las Vegas have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Vegas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
25.06.21	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	1:2 ✺
19.06.21	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	1:3 ✺
16.06.21	LA Galaxy II - Las Vegas Lights	3:4 ✺
11.06.21	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
05.06.21	Las Vegas Lights - Tacoma Defiance	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 LLWTW
- Tacoma Defiance
USL Championship
27.06.21	Tacoma Defiance - LA Galaxy II	2:0 ✺
23.06.21	Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs	1:1 ✺
16.06.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Tacoma Defiance	4:2 ✺
12.06.21	Phoenix Rising - Tacoma Defiance	3:0 ✺
05.06.21	Las Vegas Lights - Tacoma Defiance	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
05.06.21	Las Vegas Lights - Tacoma Defiance	2:0
19.08.20	Las Vegas Lights - Tacoma Defiance	3:1
24.07.19	Tacoma Defiance - Las Vegas Lights	4:1
13.04.19	Las Vegas Lights - Tacoma Defiance	5:0
26.07.18	Tacoma Defiance - Las Vegas Lights	3:0
16.06.18	Las Vegas Lights - Tacoma Defiance	4:1

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