The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LA Galaxy II 43.7%
Draw 23.8%
Las Vegas Lights 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
25.1%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LA Galaxy II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LA Galaxy II's performance.
Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LA Galaxy II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
LA Galaxy II - Las Vegas Lights Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 10 (39.25%), has project points - 40, has currently - 39, has not chance of playoffs.
Las Vegas has the most likely position - 9 (64.51%), has project points - 45, has currently - 44, has a chance of playoffs (26%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality10, importance37, small match rating23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 3.
LA Galaxy II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Las Vegas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Las Vegas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Las Vegas have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 33-19.
Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy II won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-11.
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