Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Las Vegas Lights		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.7	1.82	Watch
	3.3	4	1.9	Watch
	3.64	4.11	1.83
	2.9	3.4	2.1
	3.5	3.88	1.79	Watch
	3.35	3.9	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.97)	3.83 ↑ (3.55)	1.89 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
27.5%

Draw
23.9%

San Diego Loyal
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

25.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego Loyal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zuluaga A. (G) 4. Stauffer L. 3. Carroll Z. 98. Zali T. 21. Mitrano A. 6. Romero A. 17. Bushue J. (C) 22. Jimenez A. 12. Bagley T. 11. Gonzalez A. 20. Oteng E.	1. Koke Vegas (G) 13. Riley C. 5. Stoneman G. 4. Guzman C. 9. Conway E. 17. Martin C. 10. Guido A. (C) 14. Perez A. 7. Bodily B. 8. Damus R. 11. Moshobane T.
Substitutes
33. Ayimbila J. 56. Camarena M. 1. Diaz L. (G) 14. Dolling J. 5. Lage M. 19. Rios D. 2. Santana Soares P.	6. Adams C. 23. Chilaka M. 15. Corona J. 60. Ferree D. (G) 50. Gnaulati X. 2. Hackworth M. 20. Moon N.
Coaches
Sanchez I.	MIller N.

Preview

San Diego Loyal is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 1.

Las Vegas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Diego Loyal is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Las Vegas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Diego Loyal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Vegas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
07.10.23	Las Vegas Lights - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:3 ✺
01.10.23	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
13.09.23	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLL
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
07.10.23	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	4:2 ✺
04.10.23	El Paso Locomotive - San Diego Loyal	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
24.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	1:1
24.09.22	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	1:2
19.06.22	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	1:2
25.09.21	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	2:4
18.08.21	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	5:1
25.06.21	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	1:2
29.05.21	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	2:1

Upcoming Matches