Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN+, NESN Plus


	Las Vegas Lights		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.4	2.62
	2.58	3.54	2.7
	2.48	3.59	2.58	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.5
	2.44	3.32	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.56)	3.42 ↑ (3.33)	2.58 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
37.3%

Draw
27%

Tulsa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Stajduhar M. (G) 45. Pope B. 3. Jones N. 33. Guillen A. 81. Antonoglou T. 11. Pinzon C. 23. Ybarra M. 8. Scott K. 25. Anderson O. 9. Arteaga M. 14. Rodriguez J.	1. Tambakis A. (G) 98. Ian 25. Clarke A. 15. Batista L. 12. Stauffer L. (C) 8. Webber J. 13. Kocevski J. 31. Robinson G. 17. Sparks B. 19. Pierre N. 11. Bruno Lapa
Substitutes
13. Lanphier C. (G) 18. Locker C. 7. Mines B. 30. Ofeimu B. 43. Okyere A. 21. Pickering N. 27. Probo G.	7. Cabral R. 91. Cissoko A. 20. Colli G. 28. Jacomen D. (G) 27. Siranga Z. 44. Somersall R. 47. St.Clair H.
Coaches
Rensing D.	Spencer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Pierre N. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
60', Ian ↓, Colli G. ↑,
66', Anderson O. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
68', Clarke A. 🟨,
78', Arteaga M. ↓, Probo G. ↑,
78', Scott K. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
82', Sparks B. ↓, Somersall R. ↑,
88', Robinson G. ↓, St.Clair H. ↑,
88', Pinzon C. ↓, Mines B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 0.

Recent performances by Las Vegas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tulsa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tulsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Las Vegas Lights - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.84%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
23.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Las Vegas Lights - Boise	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWT
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
22.05.26	Tulsa - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Corpus Christi - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
03.05.26	Monterey Bay - Tulsa	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Tulsa - One Knoxville	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
21.03.26	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	3:2
12.07.25	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	4:3
19.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa	1:4
11.09.24	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	1:1
16.03.24	Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa	1:3
13.05.23	Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa	1:1
28.08.19	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	1:1

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