Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: One Spokane Stadium (Spokane, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Spokane Velocity		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.81	3.5	2.7
	2.7	3.1	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3	2.45
	2.54	3.53	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.81)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	2.56 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spokane Velocity
35.3%

Draw
28.3%

Las Vegas Lights
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.8%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.5%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spokane Velocity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Spokane Velocity - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 4. Fitch S. 5. Margvelashvili G. 12. Miller C. 33. Mensah M. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 10. Gil L. (C) 8. Vinyals N. 17. Alexandre M. 9. Brett N.	31. Stajduhar M. (G) 45. Pope B. 30. Ofeimu B. 33. Guillen A. 2. Forbes J. 8. Scott K. 23. Ybarra M. 7. Mines B. 26. Bwana H. 21. Pickering N. 9. Arteaga M.
Substitutes
37. Buck J. 20. Covi I. 19. Denton J. 14. Hernandez M. 3. Spielman N. 18. Waldeck D. 22. Wells R.	81. Antonoglou T. 3. Jones N. 13. Lanphier C. (G) 18. Locker C. 43. Okyere A. 27. Probo G. 14. Rodriguez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Scott K. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Vinyals N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Alexandre M. 🟥,
57', Margvelashvili G. 🟨,
58', Vinyals N. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
58', Gil L. ↓, Denton J. ↑,
58', Bwana H. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
58', Pickering N. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
63', Covi I. 🟨,
69', Forbes J. ↓, Antonoglou T. ↑,
71', Okyere A. 🟨,
81', Lewis A. ↓, Waldeck D. ↑,
85', Scott K. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
89', Brett N. ↓, Wells R. ↑,
90+5', Ofeimu B. 🟨,

Preview

Spokane is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Las Vegas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spokane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spokane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
10.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Naples	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Corpus Christi - Spokane Velocity	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Spokane Velocity	4:0 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Spokane Velocity - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
07.04.26	Spokane Velocity - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWW
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
09.05.26	New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Las Vegas Lights - Boise	1:1 ✺
USL Championship
22.04.26	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	4:2 ✺
11.04.26	Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
28.06.25	Las Vegas Lights - Spokane Velocity	2:0
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Las Vegas Lights - Spokane Velocity	2:1 ET

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