Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Monterey Bay		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.25
	2.72	3.45	2.32
	2.75	3.73	2.4
	2.69	3.7	2.34	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.3
	2.64	3.4	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.78)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	2.32 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
34.2%

Draw
26.2%

Tulsa
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Monterey Bay - Tulsa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado F. (G) 6. Malesevic L. 5. Gordon N. (C) 25. Egwu K. 32. Farnsworth Z. 23. Blancas E. 4. Ross N. 18. Belmar J. 17. Glasgow O. 20. Paul I. 19. Nadje C.	1. Tambakis A. (G) 98. Ian 25. Clarke A. 15. Batista L. 12. Stauffer L. (C) 8. Webber J. 13. Kocevski J. 11. Bruno Lapa 17. Sparks B. 7. Cabral R. 2. Damm O.
Substitutes
9. Bidois R. 31. Dalton C. (G) 11. Leggett W. 8. Lomtadze G. 14. Nakamura R. 7. Rebollar A. 3. Ritchie S.	91. Cissoko A. 20. Colli G. 10. Elmedkhar K. 28. Jacomen D. (G) 19. Pierre N. 27. Siranga Z. 44. Somersall R.
Coaches
Stewart J.	Spencer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Belmar J. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Paul I. ⚽,
37', Paul I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Webber J. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Webber J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Kocevski J. ⚽,
61', Bruno Lapa ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
62', Blancas E. ↓, Lomtadze G. ↑,
63', Belmar J. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
71', Ross N. 🟨,
74', Glasgow O. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
78', Batista L. 🟨,
80', Cabral R. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
80', Sparks B. ↓, Colli G. ↑,
83', Malesevic L. ↓, Ritchie S. ↑,
84', Ross N. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
90+4', Kocevski J. ↓, Somersall R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Tulsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tulsa - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.21%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Cup
25.04.26	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Monterey Bay - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLTL
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
29.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Tulsa - One Knoxville	1:2 penalties ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Oakland Roots - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	St. Louis City - Tulsa	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
11.04.26	Tulsa - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.08.25	Monterey Bay - Tulsa	2:3
16.07.25	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:1
26.10.24	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:1
13.07.24	Monterey Bay - Tulsa	0:0
31.05.23	Monterey Bay - Tulsa	0:0
12.10.22	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:0

Upcoming Matches