Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bych I. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:30	Disney+
Brazil	23:30	Disney+
Chile	23:30	Disney+
Colombia	21:30	Disney+
Mexico	20:30	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	21:30	Disney+
Uruguay	23:30	Disney+
Usa	22:30	ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN
Venezuela	22:30	Disney+


	Las Vegas Lights		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.05
	2.95	3.4	2.12
	3.14	3.73	2.22
	2.92	3.57	2.23	Watch
	3.1	3.65	2.13
	3.01	3.55	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	3.53 ↓ (3.72)	2.15 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
30.8%

Draw
26.2%

Lexington
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

25%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

24.6%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Las Vegas Lights - Lexington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henry T. (G) 6. Sessock N. 3. Jones N. 33. Guillen A. 81. Antonoglou T. 23. Ybarra M. 27. Probo G. 18. Locker C. 11. Pinzon C. (C) 14. Rodriguez J. 25. Anderson O.	17. Semmle O. (G) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 21. Muir M. 2. Greene J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 34. Fry M. 8. Nick Firmino 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.
Substitutes
9. Arteaga M. 13. Lanphier C. (G) 17. Leal P. 30. Ofeimu B. 43. Okyere A. 45. Pope B. 4. Stretch C.	23. Brown J. 27. Rodrigues B. P. 19. Scott T. 98. Seagrist P. 31. Thompson B. (G) 13. Tschantret M. 20. Yosef M.
Coaches
Rensing D.	Hemmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Zengue X. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Locker C. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Nick Firmino ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Anderson O. ⚽, Pinzon C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Anderson O. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
46', Fry M. ↓, Rodrigues B. P. ↑,
62', 2 - 3, Nick Firmino ⚽, Goodrum P. (A),
75', 2 - 4, Ferri B. ⚽,
75', Antonoglou T. ↓, Pope B. ↑,
75', Ybarra M. ↓, Leal P. ↑,
81', 3 - 4, Leal P. ⚽, Pinzon C. (A),
83', Nick Firmino ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
84', Ferri B. ↓, Tschantret M. ↑,
84', Locker C. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 5, Seagrist P. ⚽, Rodrigues B. P. (A),
90+2', Epps M. ↓, Yosef M. ↑,
90+4', Arteaga M. 🟨,

Preview

Lexington is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

In recent outings, Las Vegas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lexington is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Lexington could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lexington holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Las Vegas has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Las Vegas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Las Vegas Lights - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.96%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
10.10.26	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Las Vegas Lights - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLTW
- Lexington SC
USL Championship
09.10.26	Lexington - Tulsa	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Lexington - El Paso Locomotive	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Monterey Bay - Lexington	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Lexington - Orange County SC	6:0 ✺
12.09.26	Oakland Roots - Lexington	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.08.26	Lexington - Las Vegas Lights	2:0
02.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	2:1
30.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	1:0
12.04.25	Lexington - Las Vegas Lights	0:0

Upcoming Matches