Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Referee: Billeter A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Las Vegas Lights		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.25	2.42
	2.83	3.4	2.55
	2.74	3.29	2.49	Watch
	2.7	3	2.4
	2.67	3.14	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.84)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)	2.45 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
33.7%

Draw
28.7%

Lexington
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

28.4%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Las Vegas Lights - Lexington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lanphier C. (G) 45. Pope B. 81. Antonoglou T. 3. Jones N. 33. Guillen A. 23. Ybarra M. 27. Probo G. 8. Scott K. (C) 25. Anderson O. 11. Pinzon C. 14. Rodriguez J.	17. Semmle O. (G) 2. Greene J. 5. Burks K. 4. Ordonez A. 23. Brown J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 12. Zengue X. 30. Blessing L. 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.
Substitutes
9. Arteaga M. 2. Forbes J. 18. Locker C. 96. Miller C. (G) 30. Ofeimu B. 43. Okyere A. 21. Pickering N.	40. Addams G. (G) 22. Hafferty J. 18. Henry-Scott M. 77. Lewis J. 21. Muir M. 8. Nick Firmino 19. Scott T.
Coaches
Rensing D.	Hemmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Molloy A. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
19', Guillen A. 🟨,
21', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
22', Ferri B. 🟨,
29', Anderson O. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Pinzon C. ⚽, Anderson O. (A),
42', Blessing L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Blessing L. ↓, Nick Firmino ↑,
58', Ordonez A. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
72', Lanphier C. 🟨,
73', Anderson O. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
73', Scott K. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
73', 🟨,
76', Jones N. ↓, Ofeimu B. ↑,
79', Epps M. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
79', Zengue X. 🟨,
83', Ybarra M. 🟥,
87', Pinzon C. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
88', Rodriguez J. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Cup
25.04.26	Las Vegas Lights - Boise	1:1 ✺
USL Championship
22.04.26	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	4:2 ✺
11.04.26	Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLW
- Lexington SC
USL Cup
25.04.26	Lexington - Forward Madison	4:2 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Orange County SC - Lexington	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lexington - Rhode Island	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Lexington	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Lexington - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
30.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	1:0
12.04.25	Lexington - Las Vegas Lights	0:0

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