Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 33

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Trapani		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.42	3.2	2.72
	2.56	3.25	2.81
	2.44	3.3	2.68	Watch
	2.38	2.9	2.7
	2.43	3.08	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.38)	3.16 ↓ (3.32)	2.7 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
37.4%

Draw
28.8%

Potenza
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

27.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Trapani - Potenza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trapani (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 7. Ortisi P. 5. Vimercati A. 31. Pirrello R. 27. Cozzoli F. 33. Benedetti A. 8. Celeghin E. 99. Balla B. 20. Aronica G. 18. Matos 77. Stauciuc B.	17. Cucchietti T. (G) 98. Adjapong C. 47. Bura R. 15. Camigliano A. 19. Balzano M. 28. Maisto F. 23. De Marco A. 27. Erradi B. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G. 7. Delle Monache M.
Substitutes
14. Battimelli G. 80. Knezovic B. 17. La Sorsa C. 23. Motoc A. 10. Napolitano L. 30. Nicoli S. 4. Nina C. 2. Perri M. 71. Quiroz G. 22. Salamone S. (G) 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 92. Winkelmann T.	8. Castorani M. 10. D'Auria G. 22. Franchi D. (G) 77. Ghisolfi M. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 5. Lucas Martello 11. Mazzeo L. 9. Murano J. 14. Riggio C. 3. Rocchetti Y. 21. Schimmenti E. 31. Siatounis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Delle Monache M. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Celeghin E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Vimercati A. 🟨,
56', Matos 🟨,
59', Selleri G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
59', Delle Monache M. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
60', Petrungaro L. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
68', Matos ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
68', Stauciuc B. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
78', Adjapong C. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
79', Benedetti A. ↓, Nina C. ↑,
79', Balla B. ↓, Napolitano L. ↑,
83', 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Mazzeo L. ⚽,
89', Aronica G. ↓, La Sorsa C. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, La Sorsa C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 4.

Trapani has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Potenza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trapani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Potenza has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trapani won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	8	6	1	1	21:11	10	19

Last Results with these Odds

Trapani - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Potenza - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.26	Picerno - Trapani	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Trapani - Crotone	1:4 ✺
05.03.26	Audace Cerignola - Trapani	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Trapani - Atalanta U23	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Trapani - Cavese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLLW
- Potenza FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.03.26	Potenza - Latina	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
14.03.26	Potenza - Cavese	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Foggia - Potenza	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Potenza - Nuova Cosenza	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Potenza - Benevento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
16.11.25	Potenza - Trapani	2:1
01.02.25	Trapani - Potenza	4:2
25.09.24	Potenza - Trapani	1:5
14.04.19	Trapani - Potenza	2:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.02.19	Trapani - Potenza	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
12.12.18	Potenza - Trapani	1:1

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