Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie C - Semi-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport Uno
World	Onefootball


	Latina		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.08	2.74	4.18
	1.30	4.52	10.43	Watch
	2.1	2.5	3.8
	2.05	2.68	4.16
	2.05	2.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.31)	3.02 ↑ (2.83)	5.31 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
50.1%

Draw
31.8%

Renate
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

32%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

32.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Latina's performance.

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Latina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Latina - Renate Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 13. Marenco F. 6. Calabrese B. 18. Dutu E. 5. Pellitteri A. 24. De Cristofaro A. 21. Hergheligiu D. 70. Tomaselli G. 11. Pace F. 20. Fasan N. 97. Parigi G.	22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 15. Ori R. 80. Vesentini F. 11. Delcarro A. 25. Vassallo F. 17. Bonetti A. 21. Riviera C. 92. Anelli N. 9. Karlsson O.
Substitutes
1. Basti M. (G) 33. Carillo L. 17. Catasus D. 25. Cioffi A. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 2. Ercolano E. 22. Iosa A. (G) 36. Lipani J. 32. Parodi G. 80. Quieto D. 10. Riccardi A. 4. Scravaglieri M. 72. Vona A.	12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 14. Cali M. 77. De Leo L. 97. Fall M. 3. Gardoni P. 32. Ghezzi A. 7. Muhameti E. 33. Rossi A. (G) 6. Rossi G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 13. Spalluto S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Dutu E. ⚽,
28', Vassallo F. 🟨,
30', Bonetti A. 🟨,
41', Calabrese B. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Bonetti A. ⚽,
43', Marenco F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ori R. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
56', De Cristofaro A. ↓, Riccardi A. ↑,
56', Hergheligiu D. ↓, D'Angelo S. ↑,
59', Riccardi A. 🟨,
59', Bonetti A. ↓, Muhameti E. ↑,
66', Anelli N. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Parigi G. ⚽,
74', Tomaselli G. ↓, Carillo L. ↑,
74', Pace F. ↓, Ercolano E. ↑,
81', Fasan N. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
90+5', Spedalieri J. 🟥,
90+6', Ercolano E. 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Latina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Latina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.26	Latina - Foggia	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Picerno - Latina	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Renate - Latina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
10.01.26	Latina - Trapani	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Atalanta U23 - Latina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTTWW
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
24.01.26	Brescia - Renate	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Renate - Latina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.26	Giana Erminio - Renate	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Renate - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Renate - Latina	1:1

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