Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Renate		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	2.05	2.98	3.7
	2	2.87	4.19	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	2	2.88	3.94	Watch
	2	2.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)	2.87 ↓ (2.98)	3.99 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Renate
45.6%

Draw
31.6%

Pergolettese
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

30.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

29.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Renate - Pergolettese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Renate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 11. Delcarro A. 17. Bonetti A. 25. Vassallo F. 14. Cali M. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 9. Karlsson O. 92. Anelli N.	1. Cordaro L. (G) 27. Aidoo M. 14. Lambrughi A. 26. Bane A. 72. Padalino A. 21. Careccia S. 4. Arini M. 6. Dore S. 77. Pessolani G. 10. Ferrandino D. 9. Parker S.
Substitutes
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 77. De Leo L. 3. Gardoni P. 32. Ghezzi A. 10. Kolaj A. 72. Mastromonaco G. 7. Muhameti E. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 13. Spalluto S. 19. Ziu D.	13. Benvenuto M. 33. Capoferri M. 11. Corti N. 22. Doldi F. (G) 12. Finardi E. (G) 80. Jaouhari Z. 19. Pala A. 30. Pepa N. 76. Roversi L. 82. Sartori F. 7. Tomaselli G. 20. Tremolada M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Bane A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Auriletto S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
65', Bane A. ↓, Capoferri M. ↑,
65', Dore S. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Spedalieri J. ⚽,
76', Karlsson O. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
77', Corti N. 🟨,
79', Ferrandino D. ↓, Pepa N. ↑,
79', Aidoo M. ↓, Pala A. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Arini M. ⚽,
81', 🟨,
86', Vassallo F. 🟨,
89', Careccia S. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
89', Lambrughi A. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 4.

Renate has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pergolettese is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Renate is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Renate won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Pergolettese	8	1	5	2	3:5	-2	8
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
20.12.25	Pro Patria - Renate	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Renate - Trento	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Ravenna - Renate	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
06.12.25	Pro Vercelli - Renate	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWTL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.25	Lecco - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Pergolettese - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Verona - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pergolettese - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	1:2 penalties
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.25	Renate - Pergolettese	2:1
07.12.24	Pergolettese - Renate	0:1
20.01.24	Renate - Pergolettese	1:5
16.09.23	Pergolettese - Renate	0:0
12.03.23	Pergolettese - Renate	3:0

Upcoming Matches