Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Arena


	Atalanta U23		Latina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.15
	1.77	3.52	4.19	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.75	3.58	4.56	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)	3.44 ↓ (3.85)	4.29 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
51.9%

Draw
26.7%

Latina
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

23.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta U23's form might have worsened.

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atalanta U23 - Latina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta U23 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Atalanta U23 will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 18. Guerini A. 4. Berto G. 43. Comi P. 25. Steffanoni F. 47. Levak S. 24. Ghislandi D. 3. Simonetto F. 99. Vavassori D. 10. Cortinovis A. 14. Cisse M.	67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 18. Dutu E. 13. Marenco F. 2. Ercolano E. 3. Porro M. 5. Pellitteri A. 21. Hergheligiu D. 11. Pace F. 10. Riccardi A. 20. Fasan N. 97. Parigi G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Calabrese B. 🟨,
43', Riccardi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Steffanoni F. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Parigi G. ⚽,
68', Pellitteri A. ↓, Vona A. ↑,
68', Ekuban J. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
69', Cassa F. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
69', Steffanoni F. ↓, Idele J. ↑,
69', Cortinovis A. ↓, Bonanomi A. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Parigi G. ⚽,
79', Porro M. 🟨,
80', Riccardi A. ↓, De Cristofaro A. ↑,
84', Plaia M. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
84', Ghislandi D. ↓, Manzoni A. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Manzoni A. ⚽,
87', De Ciancio R. ↓, Scravaglieri M. ↑,
90+1', Marenco F. 🟨,
90+5', Parigi G. 🟨,
90+8', Gobbo L. 🟨,
90+8', Mastrantonio D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Atalanta U23 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Latina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Atalanta U23 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.25	Catania - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Atalanta U23 - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Monopoli - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Casertana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta U23 - Siracusa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLW
- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.25	Latina - Crotone	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Casertana - Latina	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Pro Vercelli - Latina	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.25	Casarano - Latina	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Latina - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.08.25	Latina - Atalanta U23	1:0

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