Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Super League - Relegation Group - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Olympique de la Pontaise (Lausanne)

Referee: Tschudi L. (Sui)


	Lausanne Ouchy		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.48	Watch
	5.5	4.75	1.49
	6	4.5	1.47
	5.92	5	1.5
	5.92	4.8	1.5
	5.5	4.4	1.44
	5.8	4.7	1.5	Watch
	5.4	4.6	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.72 ↑ (4.52)	4.69 ↑ (3.97)	1.48 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne Ouchy
16.5%

Draw
20.1%

Lausanne-Sport
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

23.7%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

23.8%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne Ouchy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lausanne-Sport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lausanne-Sport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Lausanne Ouchy - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lausanne Ouchy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
74. Vachoux J. (G) 27. Gassama L. 23. Kadima R. 5. Hajrulahu L. (C) 19. Ouedraogo D. 77. Heule M. 28. Mahmoud E. 8. Bayard R. 24. Akichi E. 14. Gharbi I. 17. Ajdini A.	25. Letica K. (G) 34. Giger R. 5. Dabanli B. 37. Nanizayamo M. 18. Poaty M. 10. Custodio O. (C) 11. Diabate F. 24. Bernede A. 80. Sanches A. 22. Kalu S. 9. Sene M. K.
Substitutes
29. Abdallah M. 7. Abi C. 6. Bamba G. 11. Damascan V. 26. Diakite I. 20. Garcia N. 18. Mulaj L. 12. Noverraz N. (G) 10. Qarri M.	1. Castella T. (G) 2. Grippo S. 19. Ilie R. 7. Kukuruzovic S. 96. Labeau B. 13. Loucif H. 30. Pafundi S. 29. Rrudhani D. 12. Szalai G.
Coaches
Dionisio R.	Magnin L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, Sene M. K. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Sene M. K. ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Sanches A. ⚽, Poaty M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Nanizayamo M. ↓, Szalai G. ↑,
57', Heule M. ↓, Damascan V. ↑,
61', Giger R. ↓, Loucif H. ↑,
61', Kalu S. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
66', Gharbi I. ↓, Mulaj L. ↑,
66', Ajdini A. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
78', Gassama L. ↓, Abdallah M. ↑,
78', Akichi E. ↓, Bamba G. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Diabate F. ⚽,
82', Diabate F. ↓, Rrudhani D. ↑,
82', Poaty M. ↓, Grippo S. ↑,
90+3', Szalai G. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lausanne Ouchy won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

Lausanne-Sport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lausanne-Sport is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lausanne Ouchy won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Lausanne Ouchy won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Super League
14.05.24	Basel - Lausanne Ouchy	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Lausanne Ouchy - Yverdon	3:1 ✺
04.05.24	Grasshoppers - Lausanne Ouchy	3:2 ✺
20.04.24	Yverdon - Lausanne Ouchy	3:0 ✺
14.04.24	Lausanne Ouchy - Winterthur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
15.05.24	Lausanne-Sport - Luzern	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Lausanne-Sport - Basel	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Lugano - Lausanne-Sport	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Lausanne-Sport - Zürich	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
10.02.24	Lausanne Ouchy - Lausanne-Sport	1:1
26.11.23	Lausanne-Sport - Lausanne Ouchy	1:0
21.10.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Lausanne-Sport	2:2
Swiss Challenge League
16.04.23	Lausanne-Sport - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1
29.01.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Lausanne-Sport	2:4
08.10.22	Lausanne Ouchy - Lausanne-Sport	2:1
07.08.22	Lausanne-Sport - Lausanne Ouchy	0:0

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