Match Info

Challenge League - Round 28

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Olympique de la Pontaise (Lausanne)

Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom


	Lausanne Ouchy		Thun

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.93
	3.1	3.45	2.14
	3.23	3.47	2.14	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.18	3.48	2.08	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 (3.19)	3.43 ↓ (3.52)	2.07 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne Ouchy
28.8%

Draw
26.8%

Thun
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne Ouchy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Lausanne Ouchy - Thun Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lausanne Ouchy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Thun will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thun: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Da Silva D. (G) 82. Kaloga I. 23. Kadima R. (C) 71. Malula B. 77. Heule M. 19. Rupp N. 4. Pos L. 73. Carraco D. 7. Beney R. 97. Caddy W. 11. Kayombo A.	1. Ziswiler N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 47. Fehr F. 6. Bertone L. (C) 16. Roth J. 29. Frith D. 70. Reichmuth N. 74. Rastoder E. 18. Ibayi C.
Substitutes
70. Abdallah H. 24. Akichi E. 88. Fargues H. 20. Garcia N. 29. Gelato L. 21. Jusufi E. 14. Lukembila H. 17. Nomel L. 74. Vachoux J. (G)	7. Castroman M. 5. Franke D. 33. Gutbub M. 8. Janjicic V. 25. Marcolli L. 46. Sessolo H. 24. Steffen N. (G) 11. Stewart L.
Coaches
Stevanovic D.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Beney R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Dahler L. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
53', Frith D. 🟨,
56', Fehr F. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Caddy W. ⚽, Beney R. (A),
60', Heule M. 🟨,
62', Reichmuth N. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
62', Rastoder E. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
67', Roth J. 🟨,
73', Roth J. ↓, Stewart L. ↑,
77', Kayombo A. ↓, Nomel L. ↑,
77', Carraco D. ↓, Akichi E. ↑,
77', Caddy W. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
82', Ibayi C. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
88', Rupp N. ↓, Fargues H. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Garcia N. ⚽, Nomel L. (A),
90+2', Beney R. ↓, Abdallah H. ↑,
90+5', Nomel L. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lausanne Ouchy won 1.

Recent matches Lausanne Ouchy is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Thun is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lausanne Ouchy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Thun will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Lausanne Ouchy: Nanizayamo M. (Injury) Qarri M. (Injury) Sutter P. (Injury)

There will not play in Thun: Balaruban A. (Muscle Injury) Burki M. (Foot Injury) Matoshi V. (Shoulder Injury) Meichtry F. (Yellow Cards) Tebily H. (Injury) Tomas M. (Arm Injury)

There are questionable in Lausanne Ouchy: Lukembila H. (Inactive) N'Dabrou L. (Inactive)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Lausanne Ouchy won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Lausanne Ouchy won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.9:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League
28.03.25	Vaduz - Lausanne Ouchy	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Schaffhausen	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Wil 1900	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Stade Nyonnais - Lausanne Ouchy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL
- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
28.03.25	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:2 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
14.03.25	Étoile Carouge - Thun	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Thun - Stade Nyonnais	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
09.03.25	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1
13.12.24	Lausanne Ouchy - Thun	1:1
02.08.24	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	1:1
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	0:1
Swiss Challenge League
22.04.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Thun	2:2
17.02.23	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	1:1
14.10.22	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	0:2

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