Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom


	Thun		Stade Nyonnais

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.6	6.2
	1.37	5.17	7.42
	1.39	4.87	7.01	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7
	1.34	5	7.28	Watch
	1.39	4.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	4.81 ↑ (4.65)	6.85 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
67.3%

Draw
19.2%

Stade Nyonnais
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19.7%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

18.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Stade Nyonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Thun - Stade Nyonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: Thun will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ziswiler N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 19. Bamert J. 23. Burki M. (C) 5. Franke D. 16. Roth J. 6. Bertone L. 78. Matoshi V. 70. Reichmuth N. 11. Stewart L. 18. Ibayi C.	91. Mastil M. (G) 71. Richard G. 28. Sylvestre Brac J. (C) 26. Busset R. 3. Correia R. 14. Silva 18. N'Diaye S. 32. Ghia J. 77. Escorza T. 11. Pasche E. 27. Traore S.
Substitutes
17. Balaruban A. 7. Castroman M. 37. Dahler L. 29. Frith D. 33. Gutbub M. 8. Janjicic V. 74. Rastoder E. 46. Sessolo H. 24. Steffen N. (G)	8. Bega L. 20. Brandy E. 19. Deme M. 22. Gazzetta L. 45. Jaiteh M. 1. Kiassumbua J. (G) 25. Ndongo R. 4. Strohbach I. 80. Weber P.
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.	Binotto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Pasche E. ⚽, Ghia J. (A),
39', Reichmuth N. 🟨,
40', Silva 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Franke D. ⚽, Ibayi C. (A),
42', Burki M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Pasche E. ⚽, Escorza T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matoshi V. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
58', Escorza T. 🟨,
59', Reichmuth N. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
59', Roth J. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
63', Traore S. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
63', Silva ↓, Bega L. ↑,
63', Ghia J. ↓, Ndongo R. ↑,
72', Stewart L. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
76', Pasche E. ↓, Gazzetta L. ↑,
83', Franke D. ↓, Balaruban A. ↑,
85', N'Diaye S. 🟨,
86', N'Diaye S. ↓, Strohbach I. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Ibayi C. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thun won 4.

Thun is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stade Nyonnais is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Thun is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Thun: Tebily H. (Injury)

There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: De P. A. (Injury) Diomande B. (Injury) Gaillard Q. (Yellow Cards)

Our prediction for today's Thun to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Thun won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:9 (average 2.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Thun won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:4 (average 3.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
23.02.25	Wil 1900 - Thun	2:3 ✺
14.02.25	Aarau - Thun	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Thun - Bellinzona	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Schaffhausen - Thun	2:3 ✺
24.01.25	Thun - Vaduz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League
21.02.25	Stade Nyonnais - Lausanne Ouchy	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Wil 1900 - Stade Nyonnais	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Stade Nyonnais - Schaffhausen	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Vaduz - Stade Nyonnais	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Stade Nyonnais - Aarau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
01.11.24	Stade Nyonnais - Thun	1:6
25.08.24	Thun - Stade Nyonnais	4:2
Club Friendly
25.06.24	Thun - Stade Nyonnais	3:0
Swiss Challenge League
27.04.24	Stade Nyonnais - Thun	0:0
02.02.24	Thun - Stade Nyonnais	4:1
24.11.23	Stade Nyonnais - Thun	3:2
21.07.23	Thun - Stade Nyonnais	1:1

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