Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 18
Germany	WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United-kingdom	HBO Max
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Thun		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.40	2.35
	2.65	3.40	2.30
	2.70	3.60	2.45
	2.91	3.70	2.33
	2.82	3.55	2.39	Watch
	2.85	3.60	2.25
	2.94	3.61	2.39
	2.85	3.55	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.64)	3.55 ↑ (3.48)	2.34 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
33.3%

Draw
26.5%

Hajduk Split
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Thun - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Thun has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hajduk shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Thun has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Hajduk has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Thun: Gutbub M. (Knock) Kristal P. (Red Card) Montolio G. (Knee Injury) Seiler M. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Hajduk: Brajkovic R. (Knee Injury) Ivusic I. (Illness).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hajduk Split	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
30	Thun	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Hajduk Split: 0.8% Thun: 0.16%

Last Results with these Odds

Thun - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Cup
18.10.26	Schaffhausen - Thun	2:3 penalties ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Twente - Thun	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.10.26	Zürich - Thun	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Thun - Kriens	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
20.09.26	Vaduz - Thun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
18.10.26	Hajduk Split - Varaždin	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Hajduk Split - Ajax	2:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
10.10.26	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWLW

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