Match Info

SWITZERLAND: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 35

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade de la Tuiliere (Lausanne)

Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)


	Lausanne-Sport		Wil 1900

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.9	4	Watch
	1.65	4.1	4
	1.66	4.51	4.46
	1.62	3.8	4.33
	1.67	4.25	4.45	Watch
	1.65	4.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.24)	4.11 ↑ (3.37)	4.21 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne-Sport
55.8%

Draw
22.4%

Wil 1900
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lausanne-Sport's performance.

Wil 1900 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wil 1900 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lausanne-Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wil 1900 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Lausanne Sport - Wil 1900 Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 12 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 59.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lausanne-Sport won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lausanne-Sport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lausanne-Sport is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lausanne-Sport won 12 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 42-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Lausanne-Sport won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Challenge League
19.05.23	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	3:3 ✺
12.05.23	Lausanne-Sport - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
28.04.23	Lausanne-Sport - Schaffhausen	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Vaduz - Lausanne-Sport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLTT
- Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League
20.05.23	Wil 1900 - Vaduz	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Bellinzona - Wil 1900	3:2 ✺
05.05.23	Aarau - Wil 1900	0:0 ✺
28.04.23	Wil 1900 - Lausanne Ouchy	1:2 ✺
21.04.23	Wil 1900 - Schaffhausen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
24.02.23	Wil 1900 - Lausanne-Sport	1:2
18.10.22	Wil 1900 - Lausanne-Sport	1:0
30.09.22	Lausanne-Sport - Wil 1900	4:0
02.08.20	Lausanne-Sport - Wil 1900	5:3
19.06.20	Wil 1900 - Lausanne-Sport	1:1
22.11.19	Lausanne-Sport - Wil 1900	5:0
29.09.19	Wil 1900 - Lausanne-Sport	2:2

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