Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Lavagnese		NovaRomentin

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.85
	1.68	3.43	4.51
	1.8	3.37	4.16	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.83	3.55	4.17
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.9)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	4.18 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavagnese
51.1%

Draw
27.2%

NovaRomentin
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavagnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

NovaRomentin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NovaRomentin than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Lavagnese - NovaRomentin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, D'Antoni R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Lavagnese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Lavagnese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Asti - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Lavagnese - Cairese	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Biellese - Lavagnese	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Varese - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lavagnese - Chisola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- SSD NovaRomentin
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	NovaRomentin - Chisola	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Gozzano - NovaRomentin	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	NovaRomentin - Valenzana Mado	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	NovaRomentin - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Vado - NovaRomentin	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
24.09.25	NovaRomentin - Lavagnese	3:1
11.05.25	NovaRomentin - Lavagnese	2:0
19.01.25	NovaRomentin - Lavagnese	0:2
22.09.24	Lavagnese - NovaRomentin	1:0

Lavagnese - NovaRomentin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide