Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Laval		Rodez

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.52	3.3	2.62
	2.62	3.49	2.67
	2.6	3.47	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.6
	2.56	3.38	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.64)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	2.6 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
36.3%

Draw
27.8%

Rodez
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.9%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Laval - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Rodez will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 4. Ouaneh P. 24. Bane S. 3. Bianda W. 12. Commaret M. 7. Vargas T. 6. Sanna S. (C) 14. Mandouki C. 10. Sellouki M. 9. Camara M. 31. Houdayer M.	1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 24. Laurent L. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 20. Ponti R. 8. Younoussa W. 27. Trouillet A. 22. Joly O. 18. Balde I. 11. Arconte T.
Substitutes
20. Clavreul E. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 22. Kouassi C. 28. Maggiotti J. 15. Mbayo D. 23. Tavares Y. 8. Thomas T.	26. Benchamma S. 13. Issanchou Roubiou C. 5. Jolibois C. 16. Margueron L. (G) 6. Mendes J. 9. Nagera K. 28. Saka M.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Trouillet A. 🟨,
42', Commaret M. ↓, Kouassi C. ↑,
45', Bane S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Houdayer M. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
65', Vargas T. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
66', Ponti R. ↓, Jolibois C. ↑,
77', Joly O. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
77', Trouillet A. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
81', Sellouki M. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
81', Camara M. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,
88', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
88', Younoussa W. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
90+1', Lipinski R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4.

Laval has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rodez is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Laval: Aradj Y. (Inactive) Dago T. (Inactive) Kouassi C. (Inactive) Mbayo D. (Inactive) Samb L. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Rodez: Achi M. (Inactive) Corredor M. (Inactive) Jean-Lambert E. (Yellow Cards) Mendes J. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Laval: Houdayer M. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Laval won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Rodez: 1.16% Laval: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8:14	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Laval - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.08%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Rodez - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.04%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
20.04.26	Dunkerque - Laval	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Laval - Reims	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Red Star - Laval	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Laval - Grenoble	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Montpellier - Laval	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTTWL
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
17.04.26	Rodez - Amiens	3:2 ✺
13.04.26	Rodez - Troyes	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Dunkerque - Rodez	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Rodez - Bastia	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Reims - Rodez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.08.25	Rodez - Laval	1:1
18.04.25	Laval - Rodez	2:1
24.09.24	Rodez - Laval	1:3
27.01.24	Rodez - Laval	1:2
19.08.23	Laval - Rodez	1:0
15.04.23	Rodez - Laval	1:0
13.01.23	Laval - Rodez	3:1

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