Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Afragolese		Gravina

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3
	2.25	3.15	3.02	Watch
	2.25	3.08	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.05)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.01 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afragolese
40.4%

Draw
29.5%

Gravina
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

29.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afragolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Afragolese - Gravina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', 0 - 3, ⚽,
50', 0 - 4, ⚽,
59', 0 - 5, ⚽,
84', 0 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gravina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Afragolese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gravina	6	3	2	1	12:7	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.04.26	Afragolese - Real Normanna	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Paganese - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Afragolese - Virtus Francavilla	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Martina Calcio - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Afragolese - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTLW
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.04.26	Ferrandina - Gravina	0:5 ✺
02.04.26	Gravina - Martina Calcio	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Manfredonia - Gravina	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Gravina - Barletta	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Sarnese - Gravina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
14.12.25	Gravina - Afragolese	1:0
05.02.23	Afragolese - Gravina	0:2

Afragolese - Gravina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide