Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Lazio		CFR Cluj

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	12
	1.32	4.75	10.5
	1.35	4.6	10
	1.33	4.5	7.6
	1.32	4.99	12.3
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.31	4.95	11
	1.34	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	4.72 ↑ (4.59)	10.24 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
70.8%

Draw
20%

CFR Cluj
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

20.3%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

19.8%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

CFR Cluj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CFR Cluj than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	8.3%	14.6%

Lazio - CFR Cluj Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). Cluj will win (votes: 7 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 65.2% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Lazio has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (89%), has a good chance of qtrs (60%), has a chance of semis (38%), has a chance of final (22%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

CFR Cluj has currently - 10, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a small chance of round of 16 (11%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 51, importance 51, match rating 51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

CFR Cluj could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lazio is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Lazio: Radu S. (Muscle Injury) Romagnoli A. (Muscle Injury) Romero L. (Red Card)

There will not play in CFR Cluj: Debeljuh G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in CFR Cluj: Billong J. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lazio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
11.02.23	Lazio - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
06.02.23	Verona - Lazio	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.02.23	Juventus - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.01.23	Lazio - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
24.01.23	Lazio - Milan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTW
- CFR Cluj
Romanian SuperLiga
11.02.23	Universitatea Craiova - CFR Cluj	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	CFR Cluj - FCSB	0:1 ✺
30.01.23	Voluntari - CFR Cluj	0:1 ✺
23.01.23	Farul Constanța - CFR Cluj	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.23	CFR Cluj - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
28.11.19	Lazio - CFR Cluj	1:0
19.09.19	CFR Cluj - Lazio	2:1

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